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10.05.2022 12:16 PM
Analysis and trading tips for EUR/USD on May 10
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Analysis of transactions in the EUR / USD pair

Weak data on EU investor confidence limited the upward potential of EUR/USD yesterday, however, the fact that the pair hit new daily highs and returned to Friday's prices mean that the quote will climb up again after a slight downward correction.

Today, markets will focus on the reports on industrial orders in Italy, followed by the data on business sentiment in Germany and the Eurozone. A sharp jump in the indicators will lead to a further increase in euro, along with hawkish statements from ECB members Joachim Nagel and Luis de Guindos. In the afternoon, the US will release its own report on economic optimism, but that will not really shake the markets. Instead, the upcoming speeches of Fed members John Williams, Raphael Bostic and Loretta Mester will be decisive, especially if their statements are hawkish. Such rhetoric will ramp up dollar demand, which, in turn, will lead to another decline in EUR/USD.

This image is no longer relevant

For long positions:

Buy euro when the quote reaches 1.0592 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0650 (thicker green line on the chart). A rally is possible if upcoming economic data on the eurozone exceeds expectations. But note that when buying, make sure that the MACD line is above zero or is starting to rise from it. It is also possible to buy at 1.0560, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0592 and 1.0650.

For short positions:

Sell euro when the quote reaches 1.0560 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0505. Pressure will return if data on the Euro area turns out weaker than expected and if the Fed representatives say hawkish statements during their speeches. In any case, when selling, make sure that the MACD line is below zero, or is starting to move down from it. Euro can also be sold at 1.0592, however, the MACD line should be in the overbought area, as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0560 and 1.0505.

What's on the chart:

The thin green line is the key level at which you can place long positions in the EUR/USD pair.

The thick green line is the target price, since the quote is unlikely to move above this level.

The thin red line is the level at which you can place short positions in the EUR/USD pair.

The thick red line is the target price, since the quote is unlikely to move below this level. MACD line - when entering the market, it is important to be guided by the overbought and oversold zones.

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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